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Chapter 8 - 6%

The alert came in at 3:19 AM.

Donald was already at his station. He'd sent his relief home at midnight. He had coffee. He had the sensor feeds from the Blue Ridge Mountains open on his secondary screen and had been watching them with the low-grade attention of someone who expects something to happen and wants to be looking in the right direction when it does.

The seismic alert came first. Then the atmospheric anomaly. Then the electromagnetic signature. All three at once, same coordinates, four seconds, then nothing.

— Source — Donald said.

— Epicenter is — the analyst paused. — It's the safe house, sir.

Someone in the back of the room said Dr. Seismic. Donald shook his head before they finished the sentence.

— Seismic propagates geologically. This is a point source. Zero delay.

He looked at the coordinates on the display.

— It's Cell — he said.

The room got quiet.

— Get me Director Stedman.

---

Cecil arrived in four minutes. Looked at the data. Didn't say anything for half a minute.

— We should call the Guardians — Donald said. — Omni-Man could be on site in under two minutes if Cell is—

— Wait — Cecil said.

— Sir, ninety mile per hour winds from a standing start, localized lightning, seismic activity all from the same—

— Donald. Wait.

Donald waited.

The readings held for twenty more seconds.

Then dropped. All of them. Clean, simultaneous, like someone had thrown a switch.

— He stopped himself — Cecil said, mostly to himself. — Connect me to his phone.

The call lasted about three minutes. Donald listened to Cecil's half of it. Calm, measured, extracting information without appearing to extract it. When he hung up he set the headset down and looked at the room.

— Update every contingency we have on our visitor. I want neutralization and containment scenarios on my desk by 0600. And I want analysis on whether this is reconnaissance. Whether there are others.

He looked at a junior agent near the door.

— Somebody get me a coffee.

She left immediately.

---

They found Cell at 4:08 AM.

It took twelve minutes to task the orbital telescope and acquire the target. Space was large. Cell was moving.

When they found him he was already past the Moon.

— Speed — Cecil said.

The analyst at the tracking station had been running the numbers for three minutes. She had the particular stillness of someone who has gotten a result and checked it twice and is now deciding how to say it.

— A fraction of light speed, sir — she said. — Small fraction. But a fraction.

Nobody said anything.

On the main display, Cell reached the asteroid belt.

What happened next nobody commented on. There was a protocol — operational silence during active surveillance. Usually people followed it because they were choosing not to speak yet.

Right now they followed it because nobody had anything to say.

The first asteroid lasted about six seconds. Not six seconds of effort. Six seconds total, from contact to the point where the tracking software stopped calling it an asteroid. The energyblasts registered as radiation flares that the telescope filtered out automatically. He moved to the next one. Then the next.

An analyst in the back had been clicking a pen. At some point she stopped. Didn't notice she'd stopped.

Then Cell reached Ceres.

The telescope lost him briefly on entry. Reacquired him on the exit side. The hole in the surface of the dwarf planet was visible in the feed as a shadow that hadn't been there before.

The pen analyst set her pen down on the desk. Quietly. Like she'd made a decision about it.

Donald looked at Cecil.

Cecil was holding his coffee cup. Had been holding it for twenty minutes. Hadn't drunk from it.

— Sir — Donald said.

Cecil didn't look away from the screen.

— I know — he said.

Donald looked at his tablet. He'd been running the numbers for the last hour with the analysis team. He'd run them three times because the first time he thought he'd made an error and the second time he thought the error was in the methodology and the third time he accepted that the numbers were correct and had been sitting with that for a while.

— If we activate a full response — he said. — Every Guardian. Omni-Man. Everything we have, fully coordinated. The probability of successfully neutralizing or containing Cell is—

He checked the tablet. Not because he'd forgotten the number. Because he wanted to be sure he was saying it correctly.

— Less than six percent.

The room was quiet.

Six percent.

Donald had written six. The real number was probably closer to two. He'd written six because two felt like something that shouldn't exist in a document. Six at least sounded like a number someone had calculated rather than a number someone had invented to avoid writing zero.

Six percent assumed perfect coordination. Full availability. A target that didn't adapt.

Six percent was generous and everyone in the room who understood what they were looking at knew it was generous and nobody said so.

Cecil finally looked away from the display.

He set the coffee cup down. Looked at the room — at Donald, at the analysts, at the junior agent who'd brought the coffee twenty minutes ago and had been standing near the back wall ever since because she hadn't been sure whether to leave.

He looked back at the display.

Cell had turned toward Earth.

This was the thing about Cecil Stedman. Donald had worked for him for eleven years and still couldn't fully account for it. The stillness. The capacity to hold something impossible and look at it without reaching for the nearest available action just to feel like he was doing something.

He was betting on a hunch.

Donald knew this. He'd known it since the coffee shop. The decision not to call the Guardians. The decision to go in alone. The resources extended, the safe house, the phone call tonight instead of a response team. Every decision since the White House had been built on something that didn't appear in any framework Donald had access to.

Cecil had looked at eighteen hours of data on something that had just punched through a dwarf planet and decided it wasn't a threat.

The planet was the stakes.

Donald looked at the six percent on his tablet.

Looked at the feed where Cell was decelerating through the inner solar system.

Said nothing.

Cecil watched the display for another moment. Reached for the coffee. Drank it. Cold. Didn't comment.

— Let me know when he's back at the safe house.

— Yes sir.

— And Donald.

— Sir.

— The contingency plans — keep developing them. All scenarios.

— Of course.

Cecil turned back to the display.

— File them under theoretical.

Donald looked at him.

— Sir?

— For now — Cecil said. Quietly. The tone of someone who has made a decision and closed the door on it.

Donald looked at the six percent.

Filed them under theoretical.

---

At 4:52 AM the safe house monitoring log updated.

*Subject has returned to property. Auditory sensors indicate subject encountered debris during atmospheric reentry and is expressing dissatisfaction.*

Cecil read it.

Set it down.

Something that wasn't quite a smile crossed his face. The first time since 3:19 AM.

He went to find more coffee.

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